So, in short, it’s possible this can go somewhere. However, anyone excited about impeachment should know impeachment is very unlikely. It’s much more likely to get a Democratic Congress in 2018 or enough Democrats in House to then vote to begin impeachment proceedings. However, at that point. enough people will get the feeling that he won’t be reelected and that it would be better for him to leave office that way by losing reelection. So even if Democrats win enough seats and then enough votes to indict, which, if put to a vote in the Senate, would lead to an easy conviction, I don’t think they’ll actually vote to impeach. Frankly, it’s a little immature, but I do think they’ll talk about it endlessly. I don’t think they’ll do it, though. Perhaps a little similar to the back and forth bickering for Supreme Court, they’ll constantly debate impeachment but this time using that as a way to then back down and get something smaller than that. So, I think it’s safe to say, though the general public and a few representatives are leading the charge on impeachment, it’s likely to stay that way and not move beyond a few Congresspeople and constant Twitter outrage. All of this is good, especially speaking out and getting your opinion heard and noticed and remembered, but it’s not going to gain enough momentum to actually move to indict in the House. Since the Senate isn’t allowed to do that and wouldn’t if they could either, we’ll be seeing Trump at least through 2020. I sincerely hope he gets just one term.
So, with all this in mind, aren’t we forgetting something? Who is going to lead the FBI? That’s right. We don’t have someone doing that right now.
The front-runner for the position is Senator Joe Lieberman, and the person Trump ask previously, Senator Cornyn, who standoffishly and immediately rejected the offer, said that Senator Lieberman is the only real option. He says he is the only one who would get a unanimous vote in the Senate. Democrats have said that they prefer someone with law enforcement experience, and I have to say I agree extremely. I don’t see how you can have someone leading an investigative body without experience in law enforcement. That said, we have a tradition of civilian leadership of military branches so perhaps there’s something to it or at least that it’s okay. Frankly, I know Joe Lieberman’s demeanor, which I believe is calm and analytical but fierce when he has all the facts and is ready to pull the trigger. To me, that’s a great attitude for what the FBI faces everyday.
Regardless of all this, can the Russia investigation actually continue with Comey gone? In short, yes. However, when you get into the details, I see it as impossible because it was already hard and now with Comey gone, there’s a lot of unknowns. With Comey not able to do his job, whatever knowledge he had and any intuition from having had actual conversations with Trump is now useless. Comey will testify, but to make that information useful, that information will have to be translated and reorganized to be used by the FBI in the way that they conduct investigations, which is far different from the way Congress might ask questions in an investigative manner in a one-day public testimony.